The majority of US states will have their presidential primaries or caucuses on Super Tuesday, which falls on March 5, 2024. Super Tuesday holds the possibility of awarding more than one-third of all the delegates available for the Republican and Democratic primaries.
In the Democratic primary, President Joe Biden is the front-runner and has no serious opposition, while in the Republican primary, former President Donald Trump is leading former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley.
Under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment, Trump was excluded from the primary ballot in two of the Super Tuesday states: Colorado and Maine, after it was determined that he had participated in rebellion connected to the post-2020 election period. But on Monday, the U.S. Supreme Court decided that only Congress could enforce Section 3, therefore votes cast for Trump in those states would still be valid.
In addition, there are state charges pending in Georgia and Washington D.C., and federal indictments pending in Florida and Georgia. The number of cases that will be tried before the presidential election is yet unknown for Trump.
Democrats are worried about Mr. Biden’s age, how he handled US involvement in the Israel-Hamas conflict, and the lack of interest shown by voters in him.
How does Super Tuesday work?
On March 5, registered voters in the states hosting presidential nominating contests will cast ballots. Super Tuesday features GOP races in fifteen states. Primaries are being held in Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, and Virginia. Caucuses are being held in Utah and Alaska.
There are open GOP primaries in eleven of the fifteen states, and participation is not limited to registered Republicans.
Eight states that will host nominating contests on Super Tuesday in 2024 were won by Trump in 2016. Trump has only lost the D.C. Republican primary to Haley this year, having won almost all of the GOP presidential nomination contests.
Democratic primaries will be held in the same states as well as in American Samoa, a U.S. territory, with the exception of Alaska. The results of the Iowa Democratic caucuses, which were conducted only by mail in January to adhere to the Democratic National Committee’s primary schedule, will be made public on Tuesday.
How significant Super Tuesday is?
Super Tuesday gets its name from the fact that on March 5th, there are more delegates up for grabs than on any other day in the primary campaign.
874 of the 2,429 total delegates in the Republican primary will be up for grabs. The winner will eventually need to earn 1,215 delegates to secure the nomination.
1,421 delegates, or almost one-third of the total delegates, will be up for grabs in the Democratic race. The winner needs 1,969 delegates to formally secure the nomination.
This is where the candidates stand heading into Super Tuesday.
According to Associated Press, Trump has already secured 244 delegates from the early voting contests; thus, he will require around 1,000 more delegates to secure the nomination. Although it is unlikely that he will surpass that mark on Super Tuesday, he will probably collect several hundred delegates, putting him in close proximity to an official victory as early as this month, Trump has the potential to finish the Republican primary.
Biden has no real opposition for the Democratic candidacy since his two primary rivals have both failed to secure any delegates to yet. But after his uneventful showing in the Michigan primary last week, Biden has a chance to win some big on Super Tuesday.
What is Super Tuesday’s role in shaping Democratic and Republican candidates?
Super Tuesday has historically given us a good idea of which candidates will secure their parties’ presidential selections. For instance, Joe Biden’s victory in ten Super Tuesday states in 2020 put an end to Bernie Sanders’ journey to the Democratic candidacy. After that, Biden ran as the Democratic nominee and defeated Trump in the general election.
Super Tuesday, though, is significantly less exciting this year. Given how easily Biden and Trump have won the early voting states, both parties already know exactly who their nominees will be. Nikki Haley, a Republican running for president, is still in the fight against Trump, but given that she has only won one primary thus far, hopes for her campaign are low.
Post-Super Tuesday: What comes next in the Presidential Race?
The remaining states will continue to hold primaries over the following few months as part of the campaign; the schedule is provided here. On June 4, the campaign’s last round of primaries will take place in Washington, D.C. for the Democratic primary, and in Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota for the Republican and Democratic primaries.
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